Warangal Parliament Report

                                        CAP-INDIC Strategy

                         Warangal Parliament Constituency:


Assembly Segments:


Assembly

CONGRESS

BJP

BRS

Winner

Ghanpur Station (SC)

93917

4984

101696

Kadiyam Sreehari

Palakurthi

126848

2982

79214

Yasaswini Reddy

Parkal

72573

38735

64632

Revuri Prakash Reddy

Warangal West

72649

30826

57318

Naini Rajender Reddy

Warangal East

67757

52105

42783

Konda Surekha

Waradhanapet (SC)

106696

12275

87238

Nagaraju

Bhupalpalle

123116

14731

70417

Gandra Satyanarayana Rao







663556

156638

503298




Expected Candidates :


⇒ Dommati Sambaiah,Singapuram Indira,Rajaiah , Ravi Harikotla and   Dr.Parameshwar   (INC)


⇒ Pasunuri Dayakar , Aruri Ramesh and Kavya Kadiyam (T.Rajaiah) (BRS)


⇒ Mandakrishna Madiga , Krishna Prasad(Retd IPS) ,Kondeti Sridhar and Gunda Vijaya Ramarao(BJP)



Analysis:


Congress:

Out of 7 Assembly Constituencies , BRS won only one i.e Station Ghanpur. Congress Party has dominance and advantages in this MP election. 

Dommati Sambaiah is very active in the social promotions and is regularly in touch with the cadre. He is trying to be in the news with regular social activities.

Singapuram Indira lost as MLA from Ghanpur and local cadre compaging her as the upcoming MP.

Rajaiah , Ex MP is also in the ticket race but he has very few chances to get the ticket.

Ravi Harikotla , District registrar is meeting top leaders of the congress Party to get the ticket. He has local contacts and mostly worked in Warangal district  also in the ticket race.

Dr.Parameshwar from Cheryal is also trying for the ticket. He contested from Warangal (Mahakutami) in 2009 and lost.

Looks like Addanki Dayakar who initially in the race was sided from this seat.


BRS:

 

BRS can take risk by Keeping Kadiyam Sreehari as MP Candidate because of his popularity over here. His Daughter Kavya is also in the probable list. 


T.Rajaiah got Warangal MP ticket promise from KCR and was not contested in assembly elections. Being a local candidate and senior he is strongly expecting a ticket and informed the cadre to work accordingly. (If BRS wont give him chance he may shift to Congress for the same)


Pasunuri Dayakar , sitting MP is also expecting a ticket but very few chances for him. BRS felt he was inactive in the party activities/Constituency and won't give competition to Congress. 


BRS is also looking for Aroori Ramesh as an alternative Candidate. He can also pull the cadre strongly in the elections.


BJP:


No Candidate is confirmed from the Party. Chances to ask Mandakrishna to Contest from BJP here. 

Krishna Prasad(Retd IPS) ,Kondeti Sridhar are also trying for the ticket from this seat.







Vote share in Assembly Elections:







Result Prediction:


More chances for the Congress Party to win from this place. All the constituencies have the stronger vote bank for Congress which definitely results in the elections.

BRS can give a tough fight here but after assembly elections the cadre became inactive. So their chances of winning are very low.

But BJP will improve its vote share in the constituency. Most of the youth were inclined to BJP. National agenda of the BJP will improve vote share here but they won't win from here.


If Congress keeps a weak candidate and BJP announces a strong candidate then only the competition will become tough. BRS still has its vote bank and cadre.

                    Otherwise Warangal is an easy seat for Congress !


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